In his book “L’heure des prédateurs (The Hour of the Predator ),” Giuliano Da Empoli writes, “Three months before the invasion of Ukraine, Surkov, who had been dismissed by Putin some time before, published an article in which everything was already said. Every society, he wrote, is subject to the physical law of entropy. No matter how stable it may be, in the absence of external intervention, it eventually produces chaos within. Up to a certain point, it is possible to manage this, but the only way to solve the problem definitively is to export it. According to Surkov, the great empires of history regenerate themselves by shifting the chaos they produce beyond their borders. This was the case with the Romans in ancient times, and, according to the author, with the Americans in the 20th century. It is also the case with Russia, “for which constant expansion is not just an idea, but the very raison d’être of our history.”
And when exporting turmoil fails to reestablish stability to the country, the country’s leader is sent into retirement, one way or another. The writer adds: “When chaos exceeds a certain stage, the only way to restore order is to identify a scapegoat. And the leader, whoever he may be, is always a scapegoat waiting in the wings. Tolstoy compares him to ‘a ram fattened for the slaughterhouse”.” (Deepl translation)
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